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Social Security and Scott Rasmussen

Having dinner with Scott Rasmussen a couple weeks ago, we got onto the subject of Social Security. He remarked that people have different ideas about Social Security reform. Some people suggest raising taxes or the retirement age, other people want to go with privatization, still others propose reducing the benefits. Interestingly, Scott had a entirely different idea that is simple but brilliant.

Here’s the scope: Allow each Social Security recipient the latitude to pick how he wants his money accrued and allotted. For instance, if you want to retire at 70, then you can. If you want to retire at 65, so be it. If you want to increase benefits, you can tweak your contributions as such. With each person controlling the time frame and/or amount to be collected and reserved, this solution alleviates that one-solution-fits-all approach to reform that undoubtedly helps some and hurt others.

I think Scot’s idea has great potential.

 


 

Medicare Mess


Medicare is completely unsustainable in its present form and the Democrats are not doing anything to fix it. There needs to be a major change to the way it works but the Democrats are unwilling to acknowledge this fact or provide any solutions – only attacks. In doing so, the Democrats are saying they don’t care if they destroy Medicare; they want to keep the way it is – which will surely hasten the demise of the program within ten years.

Do Higher Taxes Encourage Tax Avoidance?

The latest tax article from my interviews with Reuters


Nothing riles Americans quite like taxes: who pays what, whether the government needs to raise them or might slash them, and how much they’re eating away at our paychecks.

And when it comes to tax avoidance — the legal means of minimizing one’s tax burden — a growing chorus of critics say high tax rates are to blame, and an overly complex tax code isn’t helping. The emerging point of view: The higher tax rates get, the more people will try to figure out ways to stop paying them.

As evidence of that, analysts point to the relatively steady chunk of gross domestic product that can be attributed to tax revenues, even as nominal rates rise and fall. From 1950 until 2010, all federal taxes hovered between 15 percent and 20 percent of GDP, though top income tax rates varied wildly (from 28 percent to 91 percent) during that period. And that suggests a greater reliance on loopholes when rates are higher, experts say.

“When tax rates are that high, nobody is going to pay,” says Alan Dlugash, an accountant at Marks Paneth & Shron LLP in New York. “You’re going to find a way to get out of it,” he says. In fact, he says his high-end clients in New York are holding onto stocks and avoiding selling their business for fear of being bulldozed by a giant capital gains tax bill.

Big business appears to be following suit. The New York Times reported in May that loopholes in the tax code have meant U.S. multinationals are paying far less than the corporate tax rate (one of the highest in the world), leading one expert to conclude that U.S. businesses were “world leaders in tax avoidance.”

The Internal Revenue Service doesn’t have specific figures on the revenue lost each year to tax avoidance, but nearly a decade ago it reported a tax-gap of $345 billion, the vast majority of which was lost to under-reporting. That figure hasn’t been updated since 2001, though the IRS says plans are underway to release more current stats.

Tax critics, meanwhile, are busily trying to prove the harmful effects of high tax rates. For example, raising $1 trillion in tax revenue costs the economy and taxpayers an additional $110 to $150 billion, according to a 2009 report by Robert Carroll, a fellow at the conservative-leaning Tax Foundation. And a 2008 IMF paper argues that lowering the tax rate would effectively increase tax compliance and raise revenues.

Nina Olson, national taxpayer advocate at the IRS, says she hasn’t seen any definitive evidence that high rates contribute to tax avoidance; the problem, she says, is ambiguity: the tax code has undergone a staggering 4,428 revisions in the last decade. The code itself is some 3.8 million words, creating endless opportunities to exploit the system and confusing even those who want to comply into unintentional non-compliance.

“People find it confusing. And if you don’t understand it, then you’re going to feel ripped off,” Olson says, adding that a person whose marginal tax rate is 28 percent could actually pay only five percent once all the various tax benefits are factored into the equation.

Olson’s office is examining the root causes for non-compliance, looking specifically at attitudes towards tax, education, the influence of tax professionals, enforcement and even civic duty.

Not everyone is convinced that lowering tax rates would stem the wave of tax avoidance. Ted Gayer, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institute, acknowledges that high taxes impact the economy through consequences such as lower labor supply and disincentive to invest. But slashing taxes won’t bring a tide of new revenue, he says.

“When you change taxes, you’re going to get a behavioral response,” Gayer says. “But we shouldn’t fool ourselves into thinking we can get a free lunch by lowering tax rates and collecting more revenue. I don’t buy it.”

 

Americans Try to Outrun State, Local Tax Hikes

From my interview with Reuters last week:

(Reuters) – Alan Dlugash is a New York accountant who specializes in high net worth Manhattanites, but lately he’s been fielding a lot of calls from clients in neighboring states — Connecticut and New Jersey.

“The big deal right now is ‘how do I change my residency?'” he said. And the reason is almost always the same: High local taxes.

Given the extension of the Bush era federal tax cuts for two years, a cut in Social Security tax this year, and the rise of anti-tax sentiment evidenced in last November’s election results, tales of tax migrants may seem out of sync. Just last week, a number of ‘we’re undertaxed’ reports surfaced suggesting that Americans were facing their lowest tax burdens since 1958.

That ignores the idea that just as all politics is local and personal a lot of taxes are too – and in recent years the states and cities have been busy offsetting federal tax cuts with local tax hikes, largely aimed at higher income earners.

Since the beginning of 2009, some 31 states have hiked taxes on everything from income, estates, and investment gains to cigarettes and plastic bags, with annual net increases pushing $50 billion, according to data from the National Conference of State Legislatures. City and county governments have been piling on too, raising sales and property taxes in many areas even as home values drop.

For example, with last week’s passage of a two-year, $2.6 billion tax hike, Connecticut – home to much of the hedge fund industry – raised rates on income and investment taxes for the second time in three years.

It had already pushed up the rate for those earning more than $500,000 to 6.5 percent from 5 percent in 2009. Now, it has boosted the top rate to 6.7 percent, raised sales taxes and added an extra luxury tax on items like pricey boats and bracelets.

Earlier this year, Illinois approved a $6.8 billion income tax hike — pushing its flat tax rate to 5 percent from 3 percent. In California, which still doesn’t have a budget for the fiscal year which starts on July 1, Governor Jerry Brown is trying to extend a 0.25 percentage point increase, which took the top rate to 10.55 percent in 2009 but that expired on January 1.

And there could be more local levies to come, as some experts believe states will have to turn to taxes as they face enduring shortfalls and the loss of federal stimulus funds.

All of which means that Dlugash and other accountants are fielding a lot of calls from people who are wondering if there’s anything they can do, from decamping temporarily to low-tax Florida, to buying into money-losing tax shelters, just to cut their local and state tax burdens.

“People are not happy about the direction in which all the state and local taxes are going,” said Charles Barragato, an accountant and financial adviser with offices in Connecticut and New York. “We’re seeing more of a focus on the state tax implications of any plans. More sophisticated clients are looking at trusts.”

In 2000, the average U.S. household was paying 9.4 percent of its income in state and local taxes, according to data from The Tax Foundation, a conservative leaning think tank.

By 2009, the last year for which figures are available, and the year in which the biggest round of recent tax increases were enacted, that had risen to 9.8 percent.

This increase, though significant, isn’t enough to outweigh the Bush tax cuts in 2001. After all, they reduced the top federal income tax rate to 39.6 percent from 35 percent.

But the results of the state and local taxing jag are felt disproportionately in affluent areas that already had comparatively high tax rates, such as Dlugash’s stomping grounds in and around New York.

In New York City, a particular issue for the financial community and other high net worth taxpayers is the treatment of capital gains as ordinary income, resulting in a 12.85 percent rate on investment profits on top of the existing 15 percent federal rate.

That rate on salaries and investment income rose from 10.5 percent in 2002. Along the way, the state also did away with almost all tax deductions for higher income earners, and also increased state estate taxes.

“RUN OUT OF TOWN”

It means that a Manhattan family earning $400,000 with $50,000 in income from dividends and $150,000 in capital gains would pay $73,669 in state and local taxes in 2010, up 31 percent from the $61,986 bill they would have faced in 2000, according to calculations done for Reuters by TurboTax.

Furthermore, the 2010 state burden would have triggered an additional $4,264 in federal taxes because of the way state and federal taxes interplay at high brackets. On top of that, they now face property tax increases that have added thousands of dollars – or in some cases even tens of thousands – to their total tax burden.

“If Kansas legislators ever did to their farmers, or Texas did to their oilmen, what New York does to its financial community, they would have been run out of town on a rail,” Dlugash said.

It is no wonder that some wealthy New Yorkers find themselves holding on to stocks, bonds and businesses beyond their preferred sell date because they don’t want to pay the associated taxes.

That isn’t confined to New York. Richard Mandy, a lifetime Maryland resident who built a successful office furniture business, moved to Miami in Florida, where there is no state income tax, specifically for the purpose of selling his business when he was ready to retire.

He guesstimates that the move saved him more than $350,000 in capital gains taxes, enough to pay for his cushy new home. “As long as the (Maryland) Comptroller of the Currency doesn’t come after me, I’ll be absolutely delighted,” he says.

PROPERTY TAX SCOURGE

Real estate taxes have added another big burden for many homeowners, even as they saw the market values of their houses fall. Between 2005 and 2009, property taxes across the U.S. rose to an average 3.0 percent of income from 2.8 percent, the Tax Foundation reported. But those wealthier areas showed a disproportionate increase.

During that same period, property taxes went to 8.7 percent of income from 7.9 percent in Essex County, New Jersey, where many bankers and professionals who work in Manhattan live.

That means, a resident owning a $1 million house in Montclair, a popular New Jersey town, would pay $36,400 in property taxes now against $25,800 in 2005. There have been similar steep increases in parts of New York state.

Contrast that with the low taxes in some southern states.

In many counties in Louisiana or Alabama, owners of a $1-million home would owe only about $5,000. And, to rub it in, the house would be enormous by comparison with homes in expensive parts of the northeast.

It all means that middle and upper income earners in the northeast can easily pay tens of thousands more in tax than their equivalents in many other states.

We also shouldn’t forget that higher earners in high-tax states often get hit with a double whammy when their state tax burden grows.

That is because of an almost unique American invention called the Alternative Minimum Tax. Originally conceived as a way to insure that even the wealthiest share in the national tax burden, it now catches many in the middle class because the government hasn’t adjusted the system for inflation.

But it adds insult to injury, hitting those who already pay high state and local taxes hardest by adding those back into the calculation before additional federal tax is imposed.

“It’s a big hurt on the middle level of our clients,” says Wayne Berkowitz, an accountant with Berdon LLP. “The middle tier is getting whacked by the AMT as state and local taxes go up.”

But a lot of this is backward looking you may say. Surely, the anti-tax atmosphere means that there won’t be many more hikes, and that spending cuts will be the key to dealing with budget deficits? Meanwhile, some of the state hikes are already scheduled to expire.

“The trend is going to go down a bit, because states are beginning to realize that people will leave,” says Berkowitz. In fact, the 2010 Census did show a decade-long migration to low-tax havens like Florida and Texas, while high tax states like California and New York barely held their population levels.

But still unresolved budget gaps could lead to more tax hikes in the next few years if budget cuts become so deep as to be unpalatable, suggests Elizabeth McNichol of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Her organization has noted that states will face the added burden of losing some $60 billion in federal stimulus funds beginning on July 1.

The NCLS has pegged fiscal year 2012 shortfalls at $86.1 billion, and says states already expect more than $30 billion in gaps for the following year.

“Certainly we still see states struggling with their budgets and looking for ways they can raise revenues and make their budgets balance,” said Greg Rosica, a tax partner at Ernst & Young.

And many believe that with a federal government currently spending about $1 for every 60 cents it takes in from taxes and other revenue, Washington won’t be able to get the deficit under control through spending cuts alone and will soon by rejoining the tax hike party.

(With additional reporting from Lisa Lambert; Editing by Martin Howell)

Corrects change in top federal tax rate in paragraph 14.